Figures published by the Central Statistics Office show that the number of people signing onto the Live Register increased by 16,300 to 293,500 in December 2008. The unemployment rate rose to 8.3% in December from 7.8% in November. Exchequer figures for 2008 show that spending overshot Government income by €12.7 billion during the year. The deficit for 2009 could hit €20 billion.
Economist David McWilliams has suggested that Ireland should leave the Euro and then devalue its currency. He argues that no small country like Ireland has ever solved its problems without currency devaluation. It is incontestable that many Irish firms have been priced out of the UK market by the appreciation of the Euro against Sterling, which has suffered a massive devaluation as the Bank of England reduced interest rates. Similarly the Euro has risen in value against the Dollar.
The Euro is now overvalued against both Sterling and the Dollar. The Euro as a currency should be devalued by a slashing of Euro interest rates over a very short period of time. This is the route forward. The Irish government must administer the harsh medicine required and improve competitiveness.
David McWilliams suggestion that Ireland should leave the Euro is fraught with difficulty. Because the fundamentals of the Irish economy are so weak the Irish pound as a small currency would suffer a massive drop in value. Once it was floated it would go into freefall. This would trigger a massive rise in interest rates to protect the pound. The last state would be worse than the first.
Economist David McWilliams has suggested that Ireland should leave the Euro and then devalue its currency. He argues that no small country like Ireland has ever solved its problems without currency devaluation. It is incontestable that many Irish firms have been priced out of the UK market by the appreciation of the Euro against Sterling, which has suffered a massive devaluation as the Bank of England reduced interest rates. Similarly the Euro has risen in value against the Dollar.
The Euro is now overvalued against both Sterling and the Dollar. The Euro as a currency should be devalued by a slashing of Euro interest rates over a very short period of time. This is the route forward. The Irish government must administer the harsh medicine required and improve competitiveness.
David McWilliams suggestion that Ireland should leave the Euro is fraught with difficulty. Because the fundamentals of the Irish economy are so weak the Irish pound as a small currency would suffer a massive drop in value. Once it was floated it would go into freefall. This would trigger a massive rise in interest rates to protect the pound. The last state would be worse than the first.